Celta Vigo vs Alavés Prediction: La Liga Match Preview

Welcome to Extratips for the Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés prediction. The game starts at 14:15 on 18 October 2026 at Abanca-Balaídos. Celta are listed as 14th with seven points, while Alavés sit sixth with 11 points after seven matches. Those figures suggest a strong early-season motivation for both sides, although the table information should be checked before kick-off.

The market makes Celta clear favourites at 2.0000, ahead of the draw at 3.3000 and Alavés at 3.5500. Our model also leans home, giving Celta 44.9% for victory. The goal picture is tighter: Both Teams To Score—Yes stands at 52.9%, while Under 2.5 leads at 51.9%.

Recent meetings have been competitive. Chronologically, the last five were Alavés 0-1 Celta, Alavés 1-1 Celta, Celta 2-1 Alavés, Alavés 3-0 Celta, and Celta 3-4 Alavés. Celta therefore have two wins, one draw, and two defeats in that run. Their latest listed results include a 0-0 draw at Elche and a 5-0 home win over Racing Santander. Alavés recently lost 1-2 at home to Atlético, drew 0-0 at Athletic Club, and beat Osasuna 5-2.

Celta’s main strengths are home support, recent scoring form, and a strong recent record in this fixture. Their concerns include inconsistent results and defensive absences, with Carl Starfelt and Miguel Román listed as unavailable. Alavés bring energy, a recent 5-2 attacking display, and a high league position, but injuries to Facundo Garcés and Mikel Rodríguez, plus Ángel Pérez’s suspension, could weaken their shape.

One key storyline is whether Celta’s technical control can beat Alavés’ direct threat. Another is the tension between a likely home win and a low-scoring match. The most likely script is a narrow Celta victory, rated medium-high. A 1-1 draw is also plausible, rated medium, while a more open 2-1 home win is rated medium. The final lean is Celta to edge it, with both sides capable of scoring and fewer than three goals overall.