At a glance
The statistical model gives Como a 46% probability to beat Roma, with the draw at 25% and a Roma win at 28%.
The model estimates a 54% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Como vs Roma.
The model puts the probability that both Como and Roma score at 57%.
Como vs Roma kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:30.
Como vs Roma prediction: home edge in an attacking Serie A clash
Welcome to Extratips and our preview of Como versus Roma at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Sunday, October 11, 2026, at 10:30. Como have made a bright start, sitting eighth with 10 points, while Roma lead the table with 13 points from five games. The standings give Roma greater pressure, but Como’s home support and recent momentum could make this a lively contest.
Como’s listed form shows four wins in five, including 4-1 victories over Genoa and RB Leipzig, plus wins at Napoli and against Parma. Roma remain unbeaten in the listed run, with wins over Lecce and Torino and a 2-2 draw with Inter. Bryan Cristante is a major doubt after a right-knee problem, while Donyell Malen, Wesley and Evan N’Dicka are also listed among Roma’s absentees.
The last four recorded meetings are split two wins each, with no draws. Roma won 1-0 in December 2025, before Como answered with a 2-1 victory in March 2026. That balance adds spice to an already intriguing fixture.
The top prices are Como at 2.48, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67, and BTTS Yes at 1.57. Como’s attacking rhythm points toward another open game. A 2-1 home win is the main scenario, while 2-2 is a credible alternative if Roma’s midfield adapts without Cristante. Expect tempo, transitions and chances at both ends.
Como vs Roma Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Como a 46% win probability, Roma 28%, and the draw 25%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 57%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 54%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
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Como vs Roma: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Como to win
The model gives Como a 46.5% probability of winning, ahead of Roma at 28.1%. Como have won four of their last five listed matches, including away victories at Napoli and Genoa, while Roma recently drew with Inter and face a midfield concern with Bryan Cristante ruled out or doubtful. The home price of 2.48 also makes Como the narrow market favorite. Recent head-to-head meetings are balanced, so home advantage is the key edge.
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes a 56.5% probability. The available price is 1.57, implying strong market support. Como have scored in four of their last five listed matches, while Roma have scored in each of their recent results shown, including a 2-2 draw with Inter. With both attacks in good form and defensive absences reported for Roma, goals at both ends look likely.
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 53.7% probability. The best listed price is 1.67, with the market also favoring an open game. Como’s recent scores include 4-1, 4-1, 2-1 and 2-1, while Roma have produced 2-2, 2-0, 1-1, 2-1 and 4-0 in the listed form. The BTTS forecast supports a match reaching three goals.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








