Our model and the market both lean toward the 2nd team from Group I taking this one. The shortest fulltime price sits on the Away side at 1.95, while Côte d’Ivoire are out at around 3.50–3.60 and the draw is near 3.20–3.50. That gap suggests the neutral‑venue edge is not enough to close the quality difference. Côte d’Ivoire’s strength is usually their solid defensive block, but against a likely group winner or strong runner‑up from Group I, they may struggle to control midfield or possession for long spells. With knockout pressure high and the opponent priced as clear favourite, backing the away win lines up with both the numbers and the likely talent edge of the Group I side.

The Both Teams To Score – Yes line is the favourite at 1.75, ahead of No at 2.00, which tells us the market expects chances at both ends. Côte d’Ivoire showed in qualifying and in the group phase that they can create from wide areas and on the break, even against stronger opposition, but they also concede when the game opens up. The 2nd‑placed team from Group I should carry plenty of attacking quality too, especially if they are chasing a knockout win rather than settling for a draw. With both sides likely to push once the first goal arrives, a 1‑1 or 2‑1 type scoreline looks very realistic, so BTTS Yes fits well with an away win in an open contest.

Goal lines around 2.5 are almost perfectly balanced, with Over 2.5 trading close to 1.92 and Under 2.5 at a similar price. When we pair that with BTTS Yes at 1.75, the picture is of a match where at least two, and likely three, goals are expected. Côte d’Ivoire’s best route is to attack in transitions rather than sit back for 90 minutes, which should stretch the match. The Group I side, favoured at 1.95 to win, will also back their forwards to decide it in normal time. A 2‑1 away victory fits all three angles: away win, both teams to score, and over 2.5 goals, giving a coherent and realistic scenario.