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At a glance
The statistical model gives FC Barcelona a 78% probability to beat Deportivo Alavés, with the draw at 15% and a Deportivo Alavés win at 7%.
The model estimates a 59% probability of more than 2.5 goals in FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés.
The model puts the probability that both FC Barcelona and Deportivo Alavés score at 40%.
FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:00.
Barcelona vs Alavés: LaLiga Match Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for the clash at Camp Nou on 31 October 2026. Barcelona start as clear favourites after a perfect league run and a 39-9 goal record. Alavés are seventh with 11 points, so their main task will be to stay compact and frustrate the champions.
The top three listed prices underline the picture: Barcelona are 1.1100 to win, the draw is 8.5000, and Alavés are 15.0000. Recent meetings favour the hosts, with Barcelona winning 1-0, 3-1, 1-0, and 2-0 in the latest listed fixtures, while the wider record shows 12 wins in 15 encounters. Barcelona's recent form includes strong wins over Betis, Galatasaray, Getafe, and Sevilla. Alavés have shown resilience, but their recent results include draws and narrow defeats.
Team news adds a small twist. Andreas Christensen remained doubtful for Barcelona, while Roony Bardghji was unavailable. Alavés also faced defensive concerns, including long-term injuries for Facundo Garcés and Mikel Rodríguez. That could leave the visitors vulnerable against Barcelona's pace and movement.
The key battle is simple: Barcelona's pressing and chance creation against Alavés' defensive block and counterattacks. A fast home start is highly likely. A 2-0 or 3-0 Barcelona win looks the most plausible script, with Alavés needing an exceptional defensive display to change the story.
FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives FC Barcelona a 78% win probability, Deportivo Alavés 7%, and the draw 15%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 60%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 59%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 61
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FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x21.1100
Barcelona to win.
The model gives Home a 80.6% probability, while the listed odds are 1.1100. Barcelona lead the table with 27 points from nine matches and a 39-9 goal record, while Alavés sit seventh with 11 points. Barcelona have also won 12 of the last 15 listed head-to-head meetings, so their control, scoring power, and home advantage make a home win the clearest outcome.
Both Teams To Score1.9500
Both teams not to score.
The model gives No a 62.7% probability, with odds of 1.9500. Barcelona have conceded only nine goals in nine league matches, while Alavés have scored 13. Recent head-to-head results include Barcelona wins to nil, and the hosts' strong defence should limit the visitors' chances. A 2-0 or 3-0 result fits this selection.
Over/Under
Over 2.5 total goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 59.4% probability. No direct 2.5-goal price is listed, but the available goal markets show a high-scoring expectation, including 1.1400 for over 0.5 first-half goals and 1.4400 for over 1.5 second-half goals. Barcelona's 39 goals from nine matches point to a lively game, with a likely score such as 3-0.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
2.16
Potential Winnings
$58.23
Barcelona to win.
1x2 / Home
Both teams not to score.
Both Teams To Score / No
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
78%
Home
Fair odd 1.28
15%
Draw
Fair odd 6.67
7%
Away
Fair odd 14.99
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 79%
Under 21%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 59%
Under 41%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 42%
Under 58%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 40%
No 60%
First Half Winner
67%
Home
23%
Draw
9%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
62%
3%
1%
Draw
15%
6%
3%
Away
3%
3%
4%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
6.2
2.4
0.8
1
12.7
5.4
1.5
0.6
2
13.2
5.8
2.7
0.8
3
10.4
6.0
2.4
0.6
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
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FC Barcelona0
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31 Oct 20FT!
Deportivo Alavés1FC Barcelona1| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +29 | 40:11 | 27 | LWWWW | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 20:8 | 25 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +15 | 25:10 | 24 | WWWLW | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 16:14 | 20 | DLWDW | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 19:18 | 19 | WWWWL | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16:16 | 17 | WLDLW | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 14:11 | 12 | DLLDL | |
| 8 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +3 | 10:7 | 12 | DWDWD | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12:9 | 12 | WLDDD | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15:14 | 12 | WDLWW | |
| 11 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:13 | 11 | LDLDL | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 10:20 | 11 | LWLDL | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 15:26 | 11 | WLDLL | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16:19 | 10 | LWDDL | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 14:17 | 10 | WDDWL | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 12:20 | 9 | LDDWL | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 5:15 | 9 | LDLWL | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 12:14 | 8 | LLDLL | |
| 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 7:17 | 6 | LDDLW | |
| 20 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 7:19 | 5 | DLDLL |
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