Who will win FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

The statistical model gives FC Bayern München a 76% probability to beat RB Leipzig, with the draw at 15% and a RB Leipzig win at 9%.

When and where is FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig played?

FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:30 at Allianz Arena in Munich.

The model puts the probability that both FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig score at 50%.

Best85% · Over 1.5

Full Time ResultHomeWon

Home 76%Draw 15%Away 9%

Both Teams To ScoreYesLost

Yes 50%No 50%

Over 1.5 GoalsOverWon

Over 85%Under 15%

Over 2.5 GoalsOverWon

Over 69%Under 31%

Over 3.5 GoalsOverWon

Over 51%Under 49%

First Half WinnerHomeWon

Home 60%Draw 27%Away 12%

Fair odd · Home1.31

Fair odd · Draw6.73

Fair odd · Away11.05

Bookmaker	1	X	2
bet365	1.22 81.83%win	7.50 13.33%win	10.00 10%win
1xbet	1.26 79.37%win	7.08 14.12%win	9.11 10.98%win
Betfair	1.20 83.33%win	7.50 13.33%win	11.00 9.09%win
Betsson	1.00 100%win	29.00 3.45%win	34.00 2.94%win
BetVictor	1.20 83.33%win	7.50 13.33%win	10.00 10%win
bwin	1.01 98.52%win	26.00 3.85%win	61.00 1.64%win
Cashpoint	1.00 100%win	11.56 8.65%win	194.49 0.51%win
CloudBet	1.01 99.01%win	17.00 5.88%win	55.00 1.82%win
Coral	1.28 78.13%win	7.00 14.29%win	8.00 12.5%win
Dafabet	1.23 81.3%win	8.00 12.5%win	9.80 10.2%win
Interwetten	1.25 80%win	7.00 14.29%win	9.00 11.11%win
Ladbrokes	1.25 80%win	7.00 14.29%win	8.00 12.5%win
Macauslot	1.15 86.96%win	7.60 13.16%win	9.00 11.11%win
MansionBet	1.01 99.01%win	21.00 4.76%win	80.00 1.25%win
Marathonbet	1.29 77.52%win	7.60 13.16%win	8.00 12.5%win
MelBet	1.00 99.9%win	24.00 4.17%win	73.00 1.37%win
Pinnacle	1.25 80%win	7.50 13.33%win	10.50 9.52%win
Sbo	1.20 83.33%win	6.38 15.67%win	7.43 13.46%win
Unibet	1.11 90.09%win	51.00 1.96%win	141.00 0.71%win
WilliamHill	1.25 80%win	6.50 15.38%win	8.50 11.76%win

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	DIFF	Pts
1	FC Bayern München W 5D 3L 0	8	5	3	0	27:8	+19	18
2	Borussia Dortmund W 5D 3L 0	8	5	3	0	14:6	+8	18
3	SC Freiburg W 5D 1L 2	8	5	1	2	18:10	+8	16
4	RB Leipzig W 5D 0L 3	8	5	0	3	22:11	+11	15
5	Werder Bremen W 4D 3L 1	8	4	3	1	17:14	+3	15