EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Leeds United a 45% probability to beat Crystal Palace, with the draw at 26% and a Crystal Palace win at 29%.
The model estimates a 55% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace.
The model puts the probability that both Leeds United and Crystal Palace score at 57%.
Leeds United vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00.
Leeds United vs Crystal Palace preview
Welcome to Extratips. Leeds United host Crystal Palace at Elland Road in a match that should be keenly fought. The model sees Leeds as slight favourites, with a 46.9% home-win chance, while both teams to score sits at 54.3% and over 2.5 goals at 52.2%. That points to a close game with moments at both ends.
Leeds will want to use home energy and press high early. Palace usually carry enough pace to punish gaps, so the key battle may be in transition. The top odds also back a tight but open contest: Home at 1.9500, BTTS Yes at 1.7500, and Over 2.5 at 1.8700.
A Leeds win by one goal, a scoring draw, or a 2-1 type game all look live. Palace can make it awkward, but the home side still have the edge. Conclusion: Leeds are narrow favourites, with goals likely in the match.
Leeds United vs Crystal Palace Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Leeds United a 45% win probability, Crystal Palace 29%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 57%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 55%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 78
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Leeds United vs Crystal Palace: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x21.9500
Leeds United to win
The model gives Home a 46.9% probability, the highest in the 1X2 market. Leeds also have the stronger price at 1.9500, which fits a tight home edge at Elland Road. The home side should lean on that support to control the game, while Palace look the more likely team to leave space.
Both Teams To Score1.7500
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Yes a 54.3% probability, so both teams finding the net is the top call. Leeds are backed at home, but Palace have enough threat to answer. Recent matchup patterns and the balanced market also point toward goals at both ends.
Over/Under1.8700
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 52.2% probability, making it the preferred total-goals pick. Leeds at home and Palace away can both push the tempo, and the odds of 1.8700 suggest a lively game. With the scoreline likely to stay open, over looks the safer lean.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
6.38
Potential Winnings
$269.07
Leeds United to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
45%
Home
Fair odd 2.21
26%
Draw
Fair odd 3.82
29%
Away
Fair odd 3.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 78%
Under 22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 55%
Under 45%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 33%
Under 67%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 57%
No 43%
First Half Winner
31%
Home
44%
Draw
24%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
25%
5%
2%
Draw
17%
17%
10%
Away
3%
6%
16%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
6.2
6.6
4.1
2.0
1
9.0
11.9
7.1
2.8
2
7.1
9.4
6.3
2.5
3
3.9
4.7
2.9
1.5
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
Crystal Palace vs Leeds United
Crystal Palace0
Leeds United0
15 Mar 26FT!
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20 Dec 25FT!
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09 Apr 23FT!
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09 Oct 22FT!
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22 Jul 22FT!
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25 Apr 22FT!
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30 Nov 21FT!
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08 Feb 21FT!
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07 Nov 20FT!
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09 Mar 13FT!
Crystal Palace2Leeds United2| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 8:2 | 12 | WWWW | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 8:4 | 12 | LWWWW | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 16:5 | 10 | WWDLW | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 10:4 | 9 | WDDDW | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6:3 | 9 | WDDDW | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 7:3 | 8 | WDDW | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 6:4 | 8 | LDDWW | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:9 | 8 | WLDWD | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10:12 | 7 | LDLWW | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6:4 | 6 | DWDD | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 7:11 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 5 | LWDDL | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 | LDWL | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 3:5 | 4 | LDWL | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4:9 | 4 | WLDLL | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6:7 | 3 | DDDL | |
| 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6:11 | 3 | LWLL | |
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 1:10 | 3 | WLLLL | |
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2:8 | 2 | LDDLL | |
| 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4:7 | 1 | DLLL |
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