Real Madrid to win
Madrid are clear favourites in the market at 1.46-1.49. At home, they have the better control, the better chance creation, and the stronger finish.
Welcome to Extratips. Real Madrid host Athletic Club on 23 May 2026 at 19:00 in La Liga. The market makes Madrid strong favourites at 1.46-1.49 for the home win, while the draw sits around 4.50-4.80 and Athletic are priced near 5.50-6.00. The sharpest line also leans toward goals, with Under 3.5 at 1.60-1.62 and BTTS Yes at 1.60.
Real Madrid usually carry more attack and more control at home. Athletic are tough, brave, and hard to break, but the odds say they may need a big night to leave with points. The key story is simple: Madrid should have the ball, Athletic should fight for every duel, and the first goal could shape everything.
The safest angles point to Real Madrid to win, Real Madrid to score, and Under 3.5 goals. Athletic can nick a goal, but the home side looks more likely to manage the game and finish stronger.
Most likely score: 2-0 or 2-1 to Real Madrid.
Conclusion: Madrid have the edge in quality, home power, and market trust. Athletic can compete, but the home win remains the best call.
Total votes: 67
Madrid are clear favourites in the market at 1.46-1.49. At home, they have the better control, the better chance creation, and the stronger finish.
The goal line leans under, with Under 3.5 priced at 1.60-1.62. That fits a match where Madrid can win without a wild scoreline.
BTTS Yes is priced at 1.60, and Athletic have enough threat to score at least once. A 2-1 Madrid win matches both the odds and the game script.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 95:36 | 94 | LWLWW | |
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 77:35 | 86 | WWWLW | |
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72:46 | 72 | WLLDW | |
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 62:44 | 69 | LWWLW | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 59:48 | 60 | WLWDW | |
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 | 53:48 | 54 | WDLWW | |
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | -6 | 32:38 | 51 | WLWDL | |
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 | 41:44 | 50 | WWDDW | |
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 46:55 | 49 | WWDWL | |
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 | 59:61 | 46 | DLDDL | |
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 43:55 | 46 | DWWLL | |
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 | 43:58 | 45 | LDLLW | |
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 | 46:60 | 43 | LLWWW | |
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 | 44:56 | 43 | LWWDL | |
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 | 49:57 | 43 | DWLDL | |
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -14 | 47:61 | 42 | LWWWL | |
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 | 44:50 | 42 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 | 47:57 | 42 | WLLDW | |
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 39:55 | 41 | DLDDL | |
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -34 | 26:60 | 29 | LLLDL |