EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Rennes a 58% probability to beat Auxerre, with the draw at 24% and a Auxerre win at 18%.
The model estimates a 52% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Rennes vs Auxerre.
The model puts the probability that both Rennes and Auxerre score at 50%.
Rennes vs Auxerre kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:15.
Rennes vs Auxerre prediction: Home side favoured at Roazhon Park
Welcome to Extratips for the Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Auxerre on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Kick-off is set for 15:15 at Roazhon Park. Rennes are fifth after five matches, while Auxerre sit tenth; both have five points, but Rennes hold the stronger position.
The leading prices tell the story: Rennes are 1.40 to win, the draw is 4.60, and Auxerre are 6.00. Rennes have won two of their last three league games, including clean-sheet victories over Lorient and Angers. Auxerre beat Brest and Nice but also lost to Lyon and Angers. Their latest listed friendly ended in a lively 4-3 win over Clermont.
Recent meetings have swung both ways. Rennes won 3-0 in February 2026, but Auxerre won 1-0 in April 2025 and 4-0 in November 2024. The last five listed meetings were Rennes 3-0 Auxerre, Rennes 2-2 Auxerre, Rennes 0-1 Auxerre, Auxerre 4-0 Rennes, and Auxerre 0-0 Rennes. That mix warns against overconfidence.
Rennes offer the stronger home platform, while Auxerre remain dangerous in transition. A disciplined Rennes display could bring a controlled win, although the goal line remains finely balanced. Our model favours a home victory at 58.1%, Both Teams To Score: No at 50.4%, and Over 2.5 goals at 51.3%.
Rennes vs Auxerre Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Rennes a 58% win probability, Auxerre 18%, and the draw 24%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 50%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 52%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
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Rennes vs Auxerre: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Won1x21.40
Rennes to win
The model gives Rennes a 58.1% probability of winning. Rennes sit fifth with 5 points after five matches, while Auxerre are tenth with 5 points and a weaker goal difference. Rennes have won their latest two league matches, and the strongest available home price is 1.40. Recent meetings also include Rennes' 3-0 win in February 2026, supporting the home side.
LostBoth Teams To Score2.10
Both teams not to score
The model gives Both Teams To Score: No a 50.4% probability. Rennes kept clean sheets in their 1-0 wins over Lorient and Angers, while Auxerre have conceded in each of their last three listed league matches. The recent head-to-head record includes 3-0, 1-0 and 0-0 results, suggesting Rennes can control the game without allowing an Auxerre goal. The quoted No odds are 2.10.
WonOver/Under2.06
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 51.3% probability. Rennes are clear home favourites, and recent head-to-head meetings have produced 3-0, 2-2 and 4-0 scorelines. Auxerre's recent matches have also been open, including wins by 4-3 and 2-1. The available Over price is 2.06, although the narrow model edge means this remains a close call.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
6.06
Potential Winnings
$252.82
Rennes to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams not to score
Both Teams To Score / No
Over 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
58%
Home
Fair odd 1.73
24%
Draw
Fair odd 4.19
18%
Away
Fair odd 5.51
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 75%
Under 25%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 52%
Under 48%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 30%
Under 70%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 50%
No 50%
First Half Winner
42%
Home
38%
Draw
20%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
35%
5%
2%
Draw
17%
14%
7%
Away
4%
5%
11%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.6
5.3
2.2
1.0
1
12.6
10.2
4.7
1.6
2
10.5
9.6
4.8
1.5
3
6.4
5.4
2.9
1.0
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 13:5 | 14 | WLWDW | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14:9 | 14 | WWWWL | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 10:5 | 14 | DWLWW | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 13:9 | 14 | LWLWD | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 10:6 | 14 | LDWDW | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16:12 | 13 | WWWLD | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 15:14 | 13 | LWLWW | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7:6 | 11 | WWLDW | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8:10 | 11 | WLWWL | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 14:10 | 9 | WWLLL | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 14:12 | 9 | LDWLL | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12:11 | 9 | WDWDL | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 11:17 | 9 | WLWWL | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 12:15 | 7 | LLLDW | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 9:15 | 7 | LLWDL | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 10:15 | 6 | LLWDD | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 5:16 | 4 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 5:11 | 2 | LLLDL |
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