Our model gives Morocco, the Away side, a 50.1% chance to win this match, compared with only 26.1% for Scotland and 23.8% for the draw. The market broadly agrees, with several Away prices clustered around 2.00, suggesting Morocco are viewed as the stronger team. Their greater technical quality and attacking depth should benefit from the neutral venue, while Scotland are more reliant on grit and set pieces. With Morocco likely to create more clear chances over 90 minutes, backing the Away win aligns both with the model’s edge and with the odds picture.

The model rates Both Teams To Score – Yes at 56.3%, making it more likely than No at 43.7%. That suggests a game where Morocco’s superior attacking quality breaks through, but Scotland still find chances, especially from set pieces and second balls. The market has Yes around 2.00, implying a coin-flip, while the model leans clearly to the Yes side. With Morocco expected to dominate territory and Scotland desperate for points in a World Cup group match, an open second half is likely, boosting the chance that both teams get on the board.

Our model assigns Over 2.5 goals a 54.9% probability, ahead of Under 2.5 at 45.1%. Yet the market is shading the other way, with Under 2.5 at about 1.60 and Over 2.5 pushed out to 2.25, indicating many expect a tighter game. Combining our earlier angles—a 50.1% chance of a Morocco win and a 56.3% probability of Both Teams To Score—naturally supports a scoreline like 2–1 or 3–1 rather than 1–0. In a high-stakes World Cup group match on neutral soil, if Morocco’s attack clicks and Scotland respond through set plays, three or more goals is a realistic and logically consistent scenario with our other predictions. Conclusion: we expect Morocco to edge a lively contest, with both sides scoring and the goal line going Over 2.5.