EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Sparta Praha a 58% probability to beat Lillestrøm, with the draw at 20% and a Lillestrøm win at 21%.
The model estimates a 61% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm.
The model puts the probability that both Sparta Praha and Lillestrøm score at 57%.
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 16:45.
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for the Europa League clash between Sparta Praha and Lillestrøm. The match starts on 15 October 2026 at 16:45 at neutral venue TC Strahov in Prague. Sparta enter as clear favorites after recent attacking displays, including a 5-3 friendly win and a 4-1 success away from home. Lillestrøm arrive under pressure after a 3-0 defeat by Viking.
Match Outlook
Sparta are third in the league phase with three points, while Lillestrøm sit 24th with none. That gap should sharpen the visitors' urgency, but it may also leave spaces behind their defense. Sparta's recent results suggest firepower, though a 3-0 loss at Lyon shows they can be exposed on the road. Lillestrøm have shown some bite with wins over Vålerenga and Brann, yet their European start has been poor.
The main angles are Sparta's home control, Lillestrøm's need to attack, and the chance of another lively scoreline. The strongest match paths are a comfortable Sparta win with both teams scoring, or a tighter first half before the game opens late. A 2-1 or 3-1 home victory fits the form, table, and prices best.
Conclusion: Sparta should have too much quality, while the visitors can still contribute to an entertaining night.
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Sparta Praha a 58% win probability, Lillestrøm 21%, and the draw 20%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 57%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 61%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 104
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Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Lost1x21.3600
Sparta Praha to win.
The model gives Home a 53.4% probability. Sparta lead Lillestrøm in the Europa League table, sitting third with three points, while Lillestrøm are 24th with zero points. Recent results also favor Sparta, who beat Vysocina Jihlava 5-3 and Augsburg 4-1, although their 1.3600 price reflects strong market support. With Prague conditions and greater attacking form, a home win is the clearest result.
WonBoth Teams To Score1.8000
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Yes a 57.9% probability. Sparta's recent matches have produced open scorelines, including 5-3 and 4-1 wins, while Lillestrøm have scored in victories over Vålerenga and Brann. The 1.8000 odds also make Yes the shorter BTTS price. Sparta remain favored, but Lillestrøm's need for points should create chances at both ends.
LostOver/Under1.5500
Over 2.5 goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 60.8% probability. Sparta's recent form includes high-scoring wins over Vysocina Jihlava and Augsburg, and the available 1.5500 odds show strong support for at least three goals. The expected home pressure, Lillestrøm's low league-phase position, and the BTTS Yes projection all point toward an open contest.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
3.79
Potential Winnings
$139.72
Sparta Praha to win.
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes.
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals.
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
58%
Home
Fair odd 1.71
20%
Draw
Fair odd 4.89
21%
Away
Fair odd 4.73
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 82%
Under 18%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 61%
Under 39%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 40%
Under 60%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 57%
No 43%
First Half Winner
48%
Home
34%
Draw
18%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
43%
4%
2%
Draw
16%
11%
6%
Away
4%
4%
11%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
4.3
4.9
2.8
1.0
1
8.9
9.4
5.3
2.1
2
8.4
9.6
5.3
2.0
3
5.7
6.2
4.1
1.3
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 10:2 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 8:0 | 9 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 7 | WDW | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 7 | DWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 9:5 | 7 | DWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6:2 | 6 | WWL | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5:4 | 6 | LWW | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5:6 | 6 | LWW | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 4:3 | 5 | DWD | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 8:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8:5 | 4 | DLW | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5:3 | 4 | LDW | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3:4 | 4 | LWD | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1:3 | 4 | WLD | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5:8 | 4 | WDL | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3:6 | 4 | DLW | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4:3 | 3 | WLL | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 | WLL | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 3 | LWL | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | WLL | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | LLW | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 4:6 | 3 | LWL | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 4:7 | 3 | LLW | |
| 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 1 | DLL | |
| 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1:6 | 1 | LLD | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 2:9 | 1 | LDL | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1:9 | 1 | DLL | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 2:7 | 0 | LLL | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 1:6 | 0 | LLL | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3:9 | 0 | LLL | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 2:11 | 0 | LLL |
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