The model gives Sevilla a 42.7% probability of winning, the highest 1X2 outcome. Sevilla sit sixth with 17 points after ten matches, while Alavés are seventh with 12 points. Sevilla have won five league games and hold the stronger home advantage. Recent head-to-head meetings have been close, but the hosts remain the more likely side to control the match. The available home price is 2.0000.

The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes a 50.8% probability, narrowly ahead of No at 49.2%. Sevilla have scored 16 and conceded 16 in ten league matches, showing an open goal profile. Alavés have scored 14 and conceded 11, while their recent meetings with Sevilla include a 1-1 league draw and a 1-0 cup win. The 1.9500 price also reflects a finely balanced market, so goals at both ends are plausible.

The model gives Under 2.5 a 52.7% probability, making it the top total-goals outcome. Sevilla’s recent results include several narrow wins and low-scoring games, while Alavés have produced a mixed but generally controlled run. The latest league meeting finished 1-1, and the best available Under 2.5 odds are 1.6600. A 1-0 or 2-0 Sevilla win fits the standings, home edge, and cautious scoreline outlook.