Spain arrive at SoFi Stadium as the form team of this World Cup, with five straight wins and no goals conceded so far, showing a rock‑solid back line and a confident attack. The model prices the Home win between 1.58 and 1.62, with implied probabilities around 61–63%, which is a strong edge compared with Belgium’s long odds near 5.75. Belgium looked sharp in their 4–1 win over the USA, but they have still shown defensive gaps against quick passing sides, which suits Spain’s style. In a neutral venue that should still feel comfortable for Spain’s possession game, their balance, tournament momentum, and deeper bench make a narrow Spanish victory the most likely outcome.

Both sides carry plenty of attacking talent, and recent previews expect a score line in the 2–1 range rather than another tight 1–0. Our model has Over 2.5 goals around 1.77–1.83, giving a slight edge to a more open game with implied probabilities near 55%.0 Spain have been clinical in knockout football, while Belgium showed they can score multiple times against strong opposition, as in the 4–1 win over the USA. With Spain favoured to win and Belgium likely forced to push forward at some stage, this matchup sets up well for at least three goals.

Even though Spain have yet to concede in this World Cup, Belgium’s attack has found rhythm under Rudi Garcia and just hit four past the hosts, proving they can trouble any defence. The model slightly favours Both Teams To Score – Yes at 1.80 over No at 1.95, hinting at a lively clash where each side creates clear chances.0 If Spain edge the game as expected and we also see Over 2.5 goals, a 2–1 or even 3–1 type score line fits both markets and keeps Belgium on the board. This blend of Spain’s control and Belgium’s punchy counter game makes BTTS‑Yes a logical partner to a Spanish win and a higher‑scoring contest. In short, we’re looking for Spain to win, with goals at both ends and the total going over the 2.5 line.